It’s nearly the end of May and the requisite environment for the beginning of our rainy season has yet to materialize! This has a number of implications for us in South Florida.
1. We are in a drought, several counties in Florida are marked as serious. Fire danger is a real concern everywhere.
2. Water level in Lake Okeechobee is approaching another serious minimum. While not quite at 2007 levels (lowest ever recorded at 8.8 feet)
3. This most likely constitutes another test of the “Dry May Lushine theory”. This is a theoretical analogy that a dry May – indicates a higher chance of a landfalling tropical system in South Florida. The idea is that the pattern of weather experienced during a dry May (aka late start to the rainy season) is conducive to a strong Bermuda high, which would tend to prevent an early recurve of any Cape Verde origin storms. It is just a theory.
The past few days have had a dewpoint that only approached 70. It’s getting there, but rather slowly. An influx of moisture is expected by the weekend and our rain chances are only slight until then.