Stubborn Easterlies have not relented all rainy season, and as its soon to be over, I’m quite pissy about it. We have had nothing but HP near us pretty much all of Sept. Yet there is still a weakness in the mid-atlantic, which shut down the landfalling CV season. We went through a huge amount of ACE that awesomely recurved to nowhere. Bermuda got hit but I don’t think it was that bad. It’s very interesting to compare this seasons setup to the big-daddy 2005. WHile we still have significantly warmer SST’s, what is NOT in place is the upper environment. There are a lot of TUTT and ULL’s which tend to inhibit development.
Todays AFD talks about a developing tropical low near Cuba to drift up to us. Also PWATS creeps up past 2.25 inches.