Colin was named overnight, 40mph winds in the middle of the Atlantic. With a fairly weak LLC and persistent convection the storm is still an uncertainty. Models are not that clustered beyond 3 days, and that leaves the status of the storm in limbo. We do know that the storm will try and follow the same shortwave trough that is bringing sofla some humidity. However the models do not agree on when or if the atlantic ridge will build back. So the 5 day path is highly uncertain. We will know a lot more by Thursday or Friday, and a lot depends on how strong the system becomes.