Ex 92L coming through soon

Today and tomorrow should be very interesting!  The vigorous Invest 92L which caused a stir last week, will pass by south FL very soon.  The NRL and NHC have dropped the Invest, but the wave continues west.  The remnants of the wave are located in a line from the keys down through Cuba.

This morning saw scattered storms come off the ocean on the somewhat stronger than typical Easterlies.

Today’s numbers support t-storm development. CAPE over 2000 (2500-3000), LI of -7, L57 of 6.4, and no obvious subsidence. PWATS near 2 inches.  We have surface southeasterly flow, at about 10kts.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1040 AM EDT MON JUN 21 2010

.UPDATE...UPDATED THE ZONE FORECAST TO LOWER POPS OVER THE EASTERN
COASTAL AND METRO AREAS FOR THE REST OF TODAY. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE
IMAGES SHOW A DRIER AIRMASS OVER THE BAHAMAS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD.
EXPECT THIS AIRMASS TO REACH AT LEAST ERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...12Z SOUNDING INDICATED SLIGHTLY
STRONGER EAST FLOW. THIS EAST FLOW WILL ALSO STEER ANY INCIPIENT
SHOWER/STORM FURTHER INLAND BEFORE THEY HAVE TIME TO FULLY DEVELOP
KEEPING THE ERN METRO/COASTAL AREAS UNDER ISOLATED ACTIVITY AT BEST.
SCT TO NUMEROUS SHWRS/TSTMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
REST OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND MOVE TOWARD THE WEST COAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH
ANY STORM...LOWER PWAT VALUE (1.72 INCHES) AND FASTER STORM MOTION
THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS, SHOULD RESULT IN ONLY A SLIGHT RISK OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING.
Advertisements

About browardwx

Weather nut.
This entry was posted in Daily update. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s