Ridging developed over the state, and we have a NE flow. All the synoptics are in place, and we have a very complicated upper air pattern. There doesn’t seem to be any consistency to the winds up there. This can only inhibit development. I addition theres a 3C cap in place just about 4k-6k. CAPE is forecast to be massive today. OP13 has it as 2875, PWATS at 1.7in and increasing, LI at -3. It seems quite dry above 800mb, so as long as the low level moisture is sufficient and convection is vigorous, we should get T-storms.
From the AFD:
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION OCCURRED YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...AND WITH A LIGHT WIND PROFILE PROMOTING SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT ON BOTH COASTS