Synoptics slightly less favorable today. There is a frontal trough over lake o, pushing south through our area right around the time the SB collision occurs this afternoon. Behind it, there are drier conditions. Thank goodness because it has been brutally hot! We have PWATs over 2.25, CAPE is 2400, little bit of a cap at 700mb, we can expect t-storms again. Steering is the question, flow should move to the NE, favoring interior formation, but noting that over the broward/dade metros – will be weak.
It’s not as hot as yesterday, which got to 95F/DP73/HI106. Today is progged to get to 90F with the approaching troughs timing determining our temp.
0948 update to the AFD confirms my suspicions regarding the lack of severity, but otherwise favorable for storm development.
AM CONCERNED WITH THE RATHER HIGH DEW POINTS AND HIGH AMOUNT OF CAPE BUT LIMITING FACTORS ARE A RATHER WARM -6 DEGREES AT 500 MB AND WEAK SHEAR UP THROUGH THE MID LEVELS.
Update – Seabreeze looks to be marching west. This is a little earlier than yesterday.